Neymar Jr.

World Cup 2026 Analysis

Neymar Jr.'s prospects for the FIFA World Cup 2026 are a complex blend of personal determination, recent injury setbacks, and the evolving landscape of the Brazilian national team. The star forward, who will be 34 by the time the tournament kicks off, has openly stated his intention for the 2026 World Cup to be his last and is highly motivated to win the coveted trophy.

Latest News and Injury Update:

Neymar recently underwent successful arthroscopic surgery on his left knee on December 22, 2025, to address a medial meniscus injury. He had played through pain in the final matches of the 2025 Brasileirão season to help Santos avoid relegation, even scoring five goals and providing one assist in the last four games. The procedure was performed by Dr. Rodrigo Lasmar, a physician for the Brazil national team, highlighting the federation's interest in his recovery.

His rehabilitation process is expected to take approximately one month, with a potential return to the pitch in late January or early February 2026. This timeline means he will miss the start of Santos' 2026 season. Neymar's current contract with Santos is set to expire at the end of December 2025, but discussions for an extension, possibly for at least six more months leading into the World Cup, are underway.

Analysis of 2026 World Cup Prospects:

• Age and Injury History: At 33 years old (turning 34 during the World Cup year), Neymar's recurring injury issues are a significant concern. He has a history of major setbacks, including a ruptured anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) in October 2023, which sidelined him for over a year. While his current meniscus injury has a shorter recovery period, the accumulation of injuries raises questions about his ability to maintain peak physical condition throughout a demanding tournament. Experts have noted that he often appears to be playing in pain and hasn't consistently returned to his previous explosive level. Some reports even indicated unforeseen complications in his recovery prior to the recent surgery, casting doubt on his readiness.

• Coach Carlo Ancelotti's Stance: Brazil's national team coach, Carlo Ancelotti, has made it clear that selection for the 2026 World Cup squad will be based strictly on current form and fitness. He emphasized that "neither reputation nor past achievements will secure anyone a seat" on the plane to North America, and players must be "100 percent" fit. Ancelotti acknowledged Neymar's immense talent but stressed that if Neymar is not at the same level, or better, than other options, he will not be called up. This presents a direct challenge for Neymar, who will have a limited number of games (reportedly around nine) to impress Ancelotti before Brazil's March friendlies.

• Evolving Brazilian Squad and Competition: The Brazilian national team is undergoing a "restructuring phase" with a blend of experienced players and an emerging generation of talent. Players like Vinícius Jr., Rodrygo, and Endrick are stepping into more prominent roles and leading the attacking line. Other promising young players such as Igor Cerrote, Wesley, and João Cruz are also pushing for spots. This means Neymar might not be the undisputed central figure he once was, and he may need to adapt to a different role within the team if selected. Ancelotti's emphasis on squad depth and tactical flexibility suggests that Brazil will not be solely reliant on one player.

• Neymar's Determination: Despite the challenges, Neymar's personal ambition to win a World Cup with Brazil is a powerful driving force. He has publicly stated his desire to "do everything possible, even the impossible, to bring this World Cup back to Brazil" and even playfully challenged Ancelotti to "help us out." This strong mental resolve could be crucial in his recovery and quest to regain top form.

Conclusion:

Neymar Jr.'s participation in the FIFA World Cup 2026 hinges significantly on his ability to make a full and sustained recovery from his recent knee surgery and maintain consistent peak performance leading up to the tournament. While his undeniable talent and fierce desire to win remain, he faces tough competition from a new generation of Brazilian stars and the strict fitness requirements set by coach Carlo Ancelotti. The coming months, particularly his performance in club football and potential appearances in Brazil's international windows, will be critical in determining his ultimate prospects for what he intends to be his final World Cup.